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Brain Scans Can Predict People’s Actions

June 23, 2010

Researchers said on Tuesday that brain scans may be able to predict what you will do better than you can yourself, and be a powerful tool for health officials or advertisers seeking to motivate consumers.

The researchers found a way to interpret “real time” brain images to show whether people who viewed messages about using sunscreen would actually use the product.

Emily Falk and colleagues at the University of California Los Angeles said the scans were more accurate than the volunteers were. 

“We are trying to figure out whether there is hidden wisdom that the brain contains,” Falk said in a telephone interview with Reuters.

“Many people ‘decide’ to do things, but then don’t do them,” Matthew Lieberman, a professor of psychology who led the study, added in a statement.

Falk and colleagues were able to go beyond good intentions to predict actual behavior with functional magnetic resonance imaging, or fMRI.

FMRI uses a magnetic field to measure blood flow in the brain.  It is able to show which brain regions are more active compared to others, but requires careful interpretation.

The researchers recruited 20 young men and women for their experiment.  While in the fMRI scanner they read and listened to messages about the safe use of sunscreen, mixed in with other messages so they would not guess what the experiment was about.

“On day one of the experiment, before the scanning session, each participant indicated their sunscreen use over the prior week, their intentions to use sunscreen in the next week and their attitudes toward sunscreen,” the researchers wrote.

“After they saw the messages, the volunteers answered more questions about their intentions, and then got a goody bag that contained, among other things, sunscreen towelettes.”

“A week later we did a surprise follow up to find out whether they had used sunscreen,” Falk said in a telephone interview with Reuters.

Half the volunteers had correctly predicted whether they use sunscreen.  The research team analyzed and re-analyzed the fMRI scans in order to determine whether there was any brain activity that would do better.

Activity in one area of the brain, a particular part of the medical prefrontal cortex, provided the best information.

“From this region of the brain, we can predict for about three-quarters of the people whether they will increase their use of sunscreen beyond what they say they will do,” Lieberman said.

“It is the one region of the prefrontal cortex that we know is disproportionately larger in humans than in other primates,” he added. “This region is associated with self-awareness, and seems to be critical for thinking about yourself and thinking about your preferences and values.”

Falk said that the team is now looking for other regions of the brain that might add to the accuracy of the technique.

Falk said that while the findings can be important for advertisers seeking to hone a motivational message, they can be equally important for public health experts trying to persuade people to make healthier decisions.

The researchers are now preparing a report on experiments to predict whether people would quit smoking after seeing motivational messages.

The researchers published their findings in the Journal of Neuroscience.

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