Britain to Become Fifth Most Populated Nation in the Industrialised World
Posted on: Wednesday, 18 August 2004, 06:00 CDT
Many of the world's largest industrialised nations will lose population between now and 2050 as low birth rates, struggling economies and curbs on immigration stifle growth, says the author of a world population report.
Britain, however, will overtake France to become the fifth most populated nation in the industrialised world.
The annual study by the private Population Reference Bureau predicts that Britain will have a population of 65.4 million in 2050.
The 2004 population is almost 60 million.
The Washington-based organisation found that, while the world's population will increase nearly 50 per cent by mid-century, Japan will lose 20 per cent of its population in the next 45 years, while Russia, Germany and Italy will also see declines.
The United States is the biggest exception among developed countries, with its population forecast to rise by 43 per cent from 293 million now to 420 million at mid-century.
Most of the world's population growth will come in developing nations, even though these less developed countries generally have much higher rates of HIV and Aids infections and infant mortality.
China, currently the world's most populous nation at 1.3 billion, would see an overall 10 per cent increase between now and 2050 to over 1.4 billion in 2050, but its peak population is anticipated to be reached by 2025 with declines thereafter. By 2050, India is expected to overtake China, rising almost 50 per cent from under 1.1 billion now to 1.6 billion at midcentury. Nigeria's population is expected to nearly triple in size to 307 million, while Bangladesh would double to 280 million.
The trends could change further depending on how successful doctors are in treating Aids infections and reducing infant mortality rates and how prevalent contraceptive use and family planning become in developing nations.
'This only tends to accentuate the opposite poles of population growth you have in industrialised and developing countries,' said Carl Haub, author of the report by the bureau.
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