Teal Mission Model 2006-2015 is Up 10.5%, to 1,450 Space Payloads (Satellites, Capsules, Probes and Piloted Vehicles)

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo., April 4 /PRNewswire/ — Teal Group today announced completion of its Worldwide Mission Model: 2006-2015 during the US Space Foundation’s 22nd National Space Symposium. The study counts a total of 1,450 payloads proposed for launch to Earth orbit in the next 10 years, up 10.5% from last year’s 1,297 payloads for 2005-2014.

The Model breaks out the data by proposed launch year; payload type, mass and orbit; customer; prime contractor; and launch vehicle program. It provides a framework from which to make projections about the future of space, based on current “hard” information available on a wide range of satellites, capsules, probes and piloted vehicles.

“The Model is an inventory of what we know is proposed to be built and launched … the operative word being ‘proposed,’” says Marco Caceres, lead analyst for Teal Group’s World Space Systems Briefing, the 1,450-page, monthly-updated competitive intelligence service in which the Model is featured — For more information on the service, contact a sales representative at the Teal Group website, http://www.tealgroup.com/, or call 703-573-5374, or fax 703-691-9591 — “It is the first step in the process of developing a forecast of what we believe will actually happen,” he said.

Teal’s forecast for the number of satellites that will be launched around the world during 2006-2015 totals 1,200. The forecast includes many of the payloads in the Model, but also takes into account anticipated replenishment and expansion spacecraft that have not been announced or even considered.

This year’s payload count marks the first time in the past five years that the Model has actually grown. The 2001 Model included 2,160 payloads for the period 2001-2010. The Models published in 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005 all showed steady declines.

“The Model is a kind of gauge that we use to help us detect trends in the market,” notes Caceres. “Either we are seeing a real increase in the number of space systems being proposed or we are simply getting better at finding information on programs that are out there … It’s probably a little of both.”

Of the payloads contained in this year’s Model, Teal classifies 44.1% of them as Civil (government non-military), 34.8% as Commercial, 15.6% as Military and 5.5% as University & Other.

   Year      2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015   Payloads  305  347  207  23   91   68   69   57   40   27   

Note: The lower numbers in the out-years are due to the relative lack of data on payloads proposed for launch during that time-frame.

Teal Group Corp. is a defense and aerospace consulting firm based in Fairfax, Virginia. The company provides competitive market intelligence to industry and government. Areas of specialty besides space include corporate, country and agency analysis; military and civil aircraft; military electronics; missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles; and turbine and industrial/marine engines. Go to: http://www.tealgroup.com/.

Teal Group Corporation

CONTACT: Marco Caceres, +1-703-385-1992, ex. 104, or cell:+1-703-474-2874, mcaceres@tealgroup.com, in Colorado Springs, or Doug Cornell,+1-703-573-5374, dcornell@tealgroup.com, both of Teal Group Corporation

Web site: http://www.tealgroup.com/