February 15, 2012
Mobile Traffic To Hit 10 Exabytes Per Month By 2016
Cisco said on Tuesday that worldwide mobile data traffic will increase 18-fold over the next five years.
The company's "Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast for 2011 to 2016" says that the traffic will reach 10.8 exabytes, or 11,596,411,700 gigabytes, per month by 2016.
Mobile traffic in 2011 hit close to 269 petabytes, or 282,066,944 gigabytes, per month, according to the report by Cisco.
By 2016, Cisco's forecast means that the annual run rate of mobile traffic will be equivalent to 33 billion DVDs, or 4.3 quadrillion MP3 files.
It said part of the drive for this trend is being pushed by more streamed content through cloud traffic.
"With the consumer expectations increasingly requiring on-demand or streamed content versus simply downloaded content, mobile cloud traffic will increase, growing 28-fold from 2011 to 2016, a CAGR of 95 percent," Cisco said in a press release.
It also said there will be over 10 billion mobile Internet-connected devices in 2016, including machine-to-machine modules. This number would exceed the world's population at that time, a projected 7.3 billion people.
The company believes that Internet speeds on mobile networks will increase nine-fold from 2011 to 2016. The average mobile speed at that time would be 2,873 Kbps.
The majority of content being viewed on the Internet by 2016 by mobile viewers will be mobile video. This will comprise of 71 percent of all mobile data traffic by then, according to Cisco.
"By 2016, 60 percent of mobile users -- 3 billion people worldwide -- will belong to the ℠Gigabyte Club,' each generating more than one gigabyte of mobile data traffic per month," Suraj Shetty, vice president of product and solutions marketing at Cisco, said in a press release.
"By contrast, in 2011, only one-half percent of mobile users qualified. This impressive growth in mobile traffic will be driven by more powerful devices, notably smartphones and tablets, using faster networks, such as 4G and Wi-Fi, to access more applications, particularly data-intensive video."
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