November 24, 2009
PC Sales Expected To Show Increase This Year
Personal computer sales will show a slight increase this year, despite previous forecasts that it would drop, according to a statement by Gartner research group on Monday.
Gartner said that worldwide PC shipments are expected to total 298.9 million units in 2009, which is up 2.8 percent from 2008, and grow by 12.6 percent next year to 336.6 million units, reported AFP.
"Shipments in the third quarter of 2009 were much stronger than we expected, and that alone virtually guaranteed we would see positive growth this year," said Gartner research director George Shiffler in a statement.
"We're anticipating seasonally modest growth in the fourth quarter of 2009, but because shipments were so weak in the fourth quarter of 2008, growth will appear quite strong," he said.
"This could lull vendors and market watchers into thinking the market is recovering faster than it really is," Shiffler added.
Gartner said that though PC sales will slightly increase, the market value of PC shipments is expected to fall by 10.7 percent this year compared with last year to 217 billion dollars.
It predicted that the market value of PC shipments will hit 222.9 billion dollars in 2010, a 2.6 percent increase over 2009.
"Blame this year's drop in market value on the unprecedented declines in PC average selling prices we've seen this year," Shiffler said.
Sales of inexpensive laptops are driving the PC market growth, said Gartner.
It said mobile PC shipments are currently set to reach 162 million units in 2009, which is a 15.4 percent increase over 2008, and 196.4 million units in 2010.
Gartner also noted that mini-notebook shipments, which are included in overall mobile PC shipments, are expected to reach 29 million units in 2009 and 41 million units in 2010.
"Mobile PC shipments continued to get a significant boost from mini-notebooks," said Shiffler.
"We've raised our near-term forecast for mini-notebooks in response, but we have also narrowed our scenarios for them," he said. "Mini-notebooks are facing increased competition from other low-cost mobile PCs, as well as alternative mobile devices."
"They are rapidly finding their level in the market, and we expect their growth to noticeably slow as early as next year," Shiffler said.
Shipments of desktop PCs are forecast to hit a total 136.9 million units this year, down nine percent from 2008, and 140.2 million units next year.
Gartner also said it does not expect last month's release of Windows 7, Microsoft's new computer operating system, to have any note-worthy affect on holiday sales.
"We just don't see consumers buying new PCs solely because of Windows 7," Shiffler said. "We are expecting a modest bump in fourth-quarter consumer demand as vendors promote new Windows 7-based PCs, but the attraction will be the new PCs, not Windows 7."
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