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Latest Likelihood function Stories

2012-02-13 23:20:52

People aren't always good at making informed decisions that involve risk, but a new study shows that even when we know the likelihood of certain outcomes based on statistical evidence or our own experiences, we still make decisions at odds with the probability of their occurrence. Psychology research on risk and decision-making often employs questions about gambling–where information about probabilities is given explicitly in numerical form. For instance, in experiments, participants...

2011-05-10 05:04:00

NEW YORK, May 10, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Although professional football is America's favorite sport, there is some talk that the upcoming NFL season may be delayed or even cancelled because the current labor lockout will continue. The NFL did hold its annual draft recently in a somewhat modified and scaled-back format, producing lower viewership and ratings than in previous years. Is that a nod to future interest in the sport, or an anomaly based on the present situation? (Logo:...

2010-12-29 09:03:00

ATLANTA, Dec. 29, 2010 /PRNewswire/ -- BIAS Corporation, an elite Platinum-level Oracle Partner headquartered in Atlanta, along with Tickets For Troops, are partnering up to grant a night of fun for our military troops and their families at the 2010 Liberty Bowl game taking place in Memphis, TN. This December 31st, Tickets For Troops will be hosting 40 military recipients at the Liberty Bowl. Many of these soldiers have been separated from their families by service for our country for up...

2010-03-12 08:04:00

FREMONT, Calif., March 12 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Vermillion, Inc. (Pink Sheets: VRML) today announced that Medicare will cover OVA1(TM), a test to help assess the likelihood that an ovarian mass is benign or malignant. Highmark Medicare Services is the CMS contractor that will process Medicare claims for OVA1. Yesterday Highmark announced its decision to cover this new service. "We are pleased with this favorable decision, which will help provide access to this important test to the...

2010-03-02 08:56:50

Researchers led by Philip Fernbach, a cognitive and linguistic sciences graduate student, have found that individuals are more likely to consider alternative causes when they make diagnoses than when they make decisions about the future. The findings suggest that framing problems as diagnostic-likelihood judgments can reduce bias. Details will be in the March 2010 edition of Psychological Science. PROVIDENCE, R.I. -- Brown University researchers have identified a way to improve thought...

2008-09-27 03:00:13

By Hoffman, Ross N Ponte, Rui M; Kostelich, Eric J; Blumberg, Alan; Szunyogh, Istvan; Vinogradov, Sergey V; Henderson, John M ABSTRACT Data assimilation approaches that use ensembles to approximate a Kalman filter have many potential advantages for oceanographic applications. To explore the extent to which this holds, the Estuarine and Coastal Ocean Model (ECOM) is coupled with a modern data assimilation method based on the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and a series of...

2008-08-26 03:00:20

By Hunt, Gene Abstract.- The problem of gradual versus punctuated change within phyletic lineages can be understood in terms of the homogeneity of evolutionary dynamics. Hypotheses of punctuated change imply that the rules governing evolutionary change shift over time such that the normal dynamics of stasis are temporarily suspended, permitting a period of net evolutionary change. Such explanations are members of a larger class of models in which evolutionary dynamics are in some way...


Word of the Day
callithump
  • A somewhat riotous parade, accompanied with the blowing of tin horns, and other discordant noises; also, a burlesque serenade; a charivari.
'Callithump' is a back-formation of 'callithumpian,' a 'fanciful formation' according to the Oxford English Dictionary. However, the English Dialect Dictionary, says 'Gallithumpians' is a Dorset and Devon word from the 1790s that refers to 'a society of radical social reformers' or 'noisy disturbers of elections and meetings.'
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